Crime Rate in Nelson: Trends, Hotspots

Overview of Crime in Nelson

The total recorded crimes in Nelson, Caerphilly, UK in March 2025 are around 35 as per the recent police data. This equates to a Nelson crime rate of 0.20 per 1,000 population.

It's important to note that this crime data is based on the Geographic Boundry data provided by the ONS around Nelson, encompassing approximately 172,583 residents.

Most occured crime Types

The most prevalent crimes in the area during Mar were:

  • Violence and sexual offences: (16) incidents (1500.00% increase)
  • Criminal damage and arson: (5) incidents (0.00% decrease)
  • Anti-social behaviour: (4) incidents (0.00% decrease)
Nelson Crime Hotspots

The surrounding areas of below locations have emerged as crime hotspots,

  • Lan-Y-Parc with total crimes: 8
  • Heol Las with total crimes: 2
  • Supermarket with total crimes: 2

How safe is Nelson?

To understand the safety of Nelson, we need to analyze Nelson crime statistics in relation to regional averages. Lets examine the available data and provide a balanced assessment.

  • Relative to Caerphilly:

    • In 2024, Nelson demonstrated a lower crime volume than the Caerphilly average, with 394 crimes compared to 699.0. This suggests a relatively safer position within the region for the year. Additionally, Nelson recorded fewer crimes than 25 out of 30 other cities.

    • In 2023, Nelson had fewer crimes than the Caerphilly average, with 296 crimes compared to 598. This reflects a relatively lower crime rate for the area within the region that year. Additionally, Nelson recorded fewer crimes than 27 out of 30 other cities.

  • Overall Assessment:

    • Compared to other areas in Caerphilly, Nelson has a lower crime rate and is considered safer in 2024.

    • The trend in crime rates suggests Negative changes in overall safety.

Nelson Crime Statstics

In March 2025 the Nelson has recorded 35 crimes with crime rate of 0.20 ranking 26th out of 30 in the Caerphilly, UK

In 2024, the total Nelson crimes were 394. The crime rate of Nelson in 2024 was 18.23 (year) or 1.52 (month) ranking it 26 dangerous area in the Caerphilly.

In 2023, the total crimes in Nelson were around 296 crimes with yearly crime rate of 17.14 (year) or 1.43 (month) ranking 28 most dangerous area in the Caerphilly.

AreaMarch 202520242023
CrimesRank (Caerphilly)CrimesRank (Caerphilly)CrimesRank (Caerphilly)
Aberbargoed and Bargoed116 11,362 21,358 1
Blackwood95 31,417 11,169 2
Penyrheol103 21,103 4949 3
Crumlin72 101,174 3803 6
St Cattwg68 11898 8871 4
St Martins86 41,008 5730 8
Morgan Jones56 171,003 6847 5
Risca West79 5780 10697 9
Hengoed78 6687 17626 15
Cefn Fforest and Pengam78 7937 7763 7
Twyn Carno75 8675 18679 10
Van64 13791 9575 18
Bedwas and Trethomas75 9643 21579 17
New Tredegar45 21657 20670 11
Maesycwmmer30 28771 11630 13
Pontllanfraith59 16697 14631 12
Ystrad Mynach54 18761 12627 14
Aber Valley64 12688 16515 21
Risca East64 14718 13557 19
Newbridge39 23693 15523 20
Moriah and Pontlottyn62 15658 19597 16
Ynysddu51 19402 25332 26
Abercarn51 20564 22473 22
Penmaen40 22313 28303 27
Llanbradach39 24462 23413 23
Machen and Rudry38 25431 24410 24
Crosskeys30 27347 27342 25
Argoed27 29264 29211 29
Gilfach14 30157 31190 30
Darran Valley13 31213 30167 31

Nelson Crime Map

Detailed Crime Data Analysis

Monthly Trends

For March 2025 , the most reported crimes were Most crimes reported were Violence and sexual offences (16 incidents) and then Criminal damage and arson showed a substantial number of incidents (5 incidents).

In February 2025, Violence and sexual offences recorded the highest number of incidents, totaling 1

During January 2025, The highest incident rate was for Violence and sexual offences (7 reports) and Anti-social behaviour incidents were also notably high (5 cases).

December 2024 crime data shows Violence and sexual offences saw the largest number of reported crimes with 12 incidents, and Anti-social behaviour was another prevalent crime category with 3 incidents.

During November 2024, The highest incident rate was for Violence and sexual offences (17 reports) and Criminal damage and arson incidents were also notably high (6 cases).

In October 2024, Violence and sexual offences dominated crime reports (13 incidents), followed by Vehicle crime also remained a significant concern (3 incidents).

Recorded incidents of Violence and sexual offences were the most frequent (11 incidents) were the most common in September 2024, with There was a large number of incidents involving Criminal damage and arson (6 incidents) also being high.

For August 2024 , the most reported crimes were Most crimes reported were Violence and sexual offences (10 incidents) and then Anti-social behaviour showed a substantial number of incidents (6 incidents).

July 2024 crime data shows Violence and sexual offences saw the largest number of reported crimes with 13 incidents, and Criminal damage and arson was another prevalent crime category with 4 incidents.

During June 2024, The highest incident rate was for Violence and sexual offences (34 reports) and Other theft incidents were also notably high (8 cases).

In May 2024, Violence and sexual offences dominated crime reports (18 incidents), followed by Public order also remained a significant concern (5 incidents).

Recorded incidents of Violence and sexual offences were the most frequent (12 incidents) were the most common in April 2024, with There was a large number of incidents involving Other theft (6 incidents) also being high.

Crime TypeCountCrime RateChange

Crime by Type

A total of 37 Anti-social behaviour incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 3.70 incidents per month. August 2024 saw the highest number of Anti-social behaviour incidents with 6 reported cases.

MonthCount
March 20254
January 20255
December 20243
November 20243
September 20245
August 20246
July 20244
June 20242
May 20241
April 20244

A total of 42 Criminal damage and arson incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 3.82 incidents per month. November 2024 saw the highest number of Criminal damage and arson incidents with 6 reported cases.

MonthCount
March 20255
January 20252
December 20241
November 20246
October 20242
September 20246
August 20244
July 20244
June 20246
May 20243
April 20243

A total of 34 Other theft incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 3.40 incidents per month. June 2024 saw the highest number of Other theft incidents with 8 reported cases.

MonthCount
March 20252
January 20251
November 20243
October 20241
September 20242
August 20245
July 20243
June 20248
May 20243
April 20246

A total of 32 Public order incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 3.20 incidents per month. September 2024 saw the highest number of Public order incidents with 5 reported cases.

MonthCount
March 20253
January 20251
November 20242
October 20243
September 20245
August 20243
July 20244
June 20244
May 20245
April 20242

A total of 164 Violence and sexual offences incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 13.67 incidents per month. June 2024 saw the highest number of Violence and sexual offences incidents with 34 reported cases.

MonthCount
March 202516
February 20251
January 20257
December 202412
November 202417
October 202413
September 202411
August 202410
July 202413
June 202434
May 202418
April 202412

A total of 10 Drugs incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 1.43 incidents per month. January 2025 saw the highest number of Drugs incidents with 3 reported cases.

MonthCount
March 20251
January 20253
December 20241
November 20241
August 20242
July 20241
May 20241

A total of 6 Other crime incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 1.50 incidents per month. August 2024 saw the highest number of Other crime incidents with 2 reported cases.

MonthCount
March 20251
December 20241
August 20242
June 20242

A total of 9 Shoplifting incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 1.80 incidents per month. March 2025 saw the highest number of Shoplifting incidents with 2 reported cases.

MonthCount
March 20252
November 20241
September 20242
August 20242
April 20242

A total of 20 Burglary incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 2.86 incidents per month. November 2024 saw the highest number of Burglary incidents with 6 reported cases.

MonthCount
March 20251
November 20246
September 20241
August 20241
June 20246
May 20244
April 20241

A total of 22 Vehicle crime incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 2.75 incidents per month. April 2024 saw the highest number of Vehicle crime incidents with 5 reported cases.

MonthCount
January 20252
November 20243
October 20243
August 20244
July 20241
June 20242
May 20242
April 20245

A total of 3 Possession of weapons incidents were recorded over 12 month period, averaging 1.50 incidents per month. July 2024 saw the highest number of Possession of weapons incidents with 2 reported cases.

MonthCount
November 20241
July 20242

High Crime Locations Nelson in March 2025

A detailed breakdown of crime incidents by location within the Nelson postcode area is presented below.

1. Lan-Y-Parc (Map)
Total8
Violence and sexual offences5
Criminal damage and arson3
2. Heol Las (Map)
Total2
Anti-social behaviour1
Criminal damage and arson1
3. Supermarket (Map)
Total2
Other theft1
Public order1
4. Commercial Street (Map)
Total2
Drugs1
Other crime1
5. Church Lane (Map)
Total2
Violence and sexual offences2
6. Market Close (Map)
Total2
Public order1
Violence and sexual offences1
7. Parking Area (Map)
Total2
Other theft1
Violence and sexual offences1
8. Ty Du Road (Map)
Total1
Anti-social behaviour1
9. Bryncelyn (Map)
Total1
Violence and sexual offences1
10. Llwyncelyn Terrace (Map)
Total1
Violence and sexual offences1

  • Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2021. This data is licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
  • Contains Office for National Statistics data licensed under the Open Government Licence v.3.0
  • Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.