Crime Rate in Nelson: Trends, Hotspots

Overview of Crime in Nelson

The total recorded crimes in Nelson, Caerphilly, UK in January 2026 are around 1 as per the recent police data. This equates to a Nelson crime rate of 0.01 per 1,000 population.

It's important to note that this crime data is based on the Geographic Boundry data provided by the ONS around Nelson, encompassing approximately 172,583 residents.

Most occured crime Types

The most prevalent crimes in the area during Jan were:

  • Violence and sexual offences: (1) incidents (0.00% decrease)
Nelson Crime Hotspots

The surrounding areas of below locations have emerged as crime hotspots,

  • Dynevor Terrace with total crimes: 1

How safe is Nelson?

To understand the safety of Nelson, we need to analyze Nelson crime statistics in relation to regional averages. Lets examine the available data and provide a balanced assessment.

  • Relative to Caerphilly:

    • In 2024, Nelson demonstrated a lower crime volume than the Caerphilly average, with 394 crimes compared to 699.0. This suggests a relatively safer position within the region for the year. Additionally, Nelson recorded fewer crimes than 25 out of 30 other areas in the Caerphilly.

    • In 2023, Nelson had fewer crimes than the Caerphilly average, with 296 crimes compared to 598. This reflects a relatively lower crime rate for the area within the region that year. Additionally, Nelson recorded fewer crimes than 27 out of 30 other areas in the Caerphilly.

  • Overall Assessment:

    • Compared to other areas in Caerphilly, Nelson has a lower crime rate and is considered safer in 2024.

    • The trend in crime rates suggests Negative changes in overall safety.

Nelson Crime Statstics

In January 2026 the Nelson has recorded 1 crimes with crime rate of 0.01 ranking 4th out of 30 in the Caerphilly, UK

In 2024, the total Nelson crimes were 394. The crime rate of Nelson in 2024 was 18.23 (year) or 1.52 (month) ranking it 26 dangerous area in the Caerphilly.

In 2023, the total crimes in Nelson were around 296 crimes with yearly crime rate of 17.14 (year) or 1.43 (month) ranking 28 most dangerous area in the Caerphilly.

AreaJanuary 202620242023
CrimesRank (Nelson)CrimesRank (Nelson)CrimesRank (Nelson)
Aberbargoed and Bargoed2 21,362 21,358 1
BlackwoodNA NA1,417 11,169 2
Aber Valley3 1688 16515 21
Penyrheol1 71,103 4949 3
CrumlinNA NA1,174 3803 6
Gilfach2 3157 31190 30
St CattwgNA NA898 8871 4
Morgan JonesNA NA1,003 6847 5
St MartinsNA NA1,008 5730 8
Llanbradach1 5462 23413 23
Machen and Rudry1 6431 24410 24
Cefn Fforest and PengamNA NA937 7763 7
Pontllanfraith1 8697 14631 12
Risca WestNA NA780 10697 9
Van1 10791 9575 18
Twyn Carno1 9675 18679 10
New TredegarNA NA657 20670 11
MaesycwmmerNA NA771 11630 13
Ystrad MynachNA NA761 12627 14
Risca EastNA NA718 13557 19
HengoedNA NA687 17626 15
NewbridgeNA NA693 15523 20
Moriah and PontlottynNA NA658 19597 16
Bedwas and TrethomasNA NA643 21579 17
AbercarnNA NA564 22473 22
CrosskeysNA NA347 27342 25
YnysdduNA NA402 25332 26
PenmaenNA NA313 28303 27
ArgoedNA NA264 29211 29
Darran ValleyNA NA213 30167 31

Nelson Crime Map

Detailed Crime Data Analysis

Monthly Trends

In January 2026, Violence and sexual offences recorded the highest number of incidents, totaling 1

In September 2025, Violence and sexual offences recorded the highest number of incidents, totaling 1

For August 2025 , the most reported crimes were Most crimes reported were Violence and sexual offences (18 incidents) and then Anti-social behaviour showed a substantial number of incidents (8 incidents).

July 2025 crime data shows Anti-social behaviour saw the largest number of reported crimes with 5 incidents, and Violence and sexual offences was another prevalent crime category with 5 incidents.

During June 2025, The highest incident rate was for Violence and sexual offences (10 reports) and Public order incidents were also notably high (6 cases).

In May 2025, Violence and sexual offences dominated crime reports (6 incidents), followed by Anti-social behaviour also remained a significant concern (4 incidents).

Recorded incidents of Violence and sexual offences were the most frequent (8 incidents) were the most common in April 2025, with There was a large number of incidents involving Anti-social behaviour (5 incidents) also being high.

For March 2025 , the most reported crimes were Most crimes reported were Violence and sexual offences (16 incidents) and then Criminal damage and arson showed a substantial number of incidents (5 incidents).

In February 2025, Violence and sexual offences recorded the highest number of incidents, totaling 1

Crime TypeCountCrime RateChange

Crime by Type

A total of 66 Violence and sexual offences incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 7.33 incidents per month. August 2025 saw the highest number of Violence and sexual offences incidents with 18 reported cases.

MonthCount
January 20261
September 20251
August 202518
July 20255
June 202510
May 20256
April 20258
March 202516
February 20251

A total of 28 Anti-social behaviour incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 4.67 incidents per month. August 2025 saw the highest number of Anti-social behaviour incidents with 8 reported cases.

MonthCount
August 20258
July 20255
June 20252
May 20254
April 20255
March 20254

A total of 10 Other theft incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 2.50 incidents per month. August 2025 saw the highest number of Other theft incidents with 3 reported cases.

MonthCount
August 20253
June 20252
May 20253
March 20252

A total of 16 Criminal damage and arson incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 2.67 incidents per month. March 2025 saw the highest number of Criminal damage and arson incidents with 5 reported cases.

MonthCount
August 20251
July 20252
June 20253
May 20253
April 20252
March 20255

A total of 8 Burglary incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 1.33 incidents per month. August 2025 saw the highest number of Burglary incidents with 3 reported cases.

MonthCount
August 20253
July 20251
June 20251
May 20251
April 20251
March 20251

A total of 18 Public order incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 3.60 incidents per month. June 2025 saw the highest number of Public order incidents with 6 reported cases.

MonthCount
August 20252
July 20253
June 20256
May 20254
March 20253

A total of 8 Other crime incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 2.00 incidents per month. July 2025 saw the highest number of Other crime incidents with 3 reported cases.

MonthCount
August 20251
July 20253
June 20253
March 20251

A total of 1 Robbery incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 1.00 incidents per month. August 2025 saw the highest number of Robbery incidents with 1 reported cases.

MonthCount
August 20251

A total of 3 Drugs incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 1.00 incidents per month. August 2025 saw the highest number of Drugs incidents with 1 reported cases.

MonthCount
August 20251
June 20251
March 20251

A total of 5 Shoplifting incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 1.25 incidents per month. March 2025 saw the highest number of Shoplifting incidents with 2 reported cases.

MonthCount
July 20251
May 20251
April 20251
March 20252

A total of 5 Vehicle crime incidents were recorded over 9 month period, averaging 1.67 incidents per month. July 2025 saw the highest number of Vehicle crime incidents with 3 reported cases.

MonthCount
July 20253
June 20251
April 20251

High Crime Locations Nelson in January 2026

A detailed breakdown of crime incidents by location within the Nelson postcode area is presented below.

1. Dynevor Terrace (Map)
Total1
Violence and sexual offences1

  • Contains HM Land Registry data © Crown copyright and database right 2021. This data is licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.
  • Contains Office for National Statistics data licensed under the Open Government Licence v.3.0
  • Contains public sector information licensed under the Open Government Licence v3.0.